Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.004288 0.004509 0.004735 0.004986 0.005255 0.005537 0.005854
2025-11-09 0.003970 0.004302 0.004658 0.005070 0.005535 0.006047 0.006655
2025-11-16 0.003700 0.004089 0.004518 0.005029 0.005626 0.006306 0.007146
2025-11-23 0.003512 0.003943 0.004428 0.005021 0.005733 0.006567 0.007633
2025-11-30 0.003323 0.003776 0.004298 0.004947 0.005745 0.006703 0.007963
2025-12-07 0.003167 0.003638 0.004189 0.004887 0.005761 0.006836 0.008285
2025-12-14 0.003057 0.003548 0.004129 0.004878 0.005834 0.007036 0.008699
2025-12-21 0.002892 0.003381 0.003968 0.004733 0.005724 0.006991 0.008780
2025-12-28 0.002817 0.003322 0.003935 0.004746 0.005815 0.007207 0.009220
2026-01-04 0.002768 0.003291 0.003934 0.004797 0.005954 0.007492 0.009769
2026-01-11 0.002685 0.003215 0.003872 0.004765 0.005978 0.007618 0.010097
2026-01-18 0.002618 0.003155 0.003828 0.004754 0.006029 0.007781 0.010484
2026-01-25 0.002545 0.003087 0.003771 0.004723 0.006052 0.007908 0.010830
2026-02-01 0.002521 0.003080 0.003795 0.004803 0.006232 0.008268 0.011556
2026-02-08 0.002453 0.003014 0.003736 0.004765 0.006242 0.008378 0.011894
2026-02-15 0.002401 0.002966 0.003701 0.004758 0.006295 0.008552 0.012344
2026-02-22 0.002329 0.002890 0.003624 0.004689 0.006254 0.008580 0.012555
2026-03-01 0.002265 0.002823 0.003559 0.004633 0.006228 0.008629 0.012800
2026-03-08 0.002222 0.002783 0.003527 0.004625 0.006272 0.008789 0.013246
2026-03-15 0.002137 0.002683 0.003412 0.004490 0.006120 0.008628 0.013119
2026-03-22 0.002106 0.002657 0.003397 0.004502 0.006192 0.008830 0.013647
2026-03-29 0.002088 0.002648 0.003406 0.004550 0.006319 0.009128 0.014372
2026-04-05 0.002046 0.002604 0.003364 0.004520 0.006323 0.009221 0.014722